Which top QBs are most likely to be available on Day 2?
Posted: April 22nd, 2025, 6:56 am
Via ESPN:
Which top QBs are most likely to be available on Day 2?
Alabama's Jalen Milroe (91%) and Louisville's Tyler Shough (99%) are the easy answers to this question, per the Draft Day Predictor. They are both possibilities for the Browns (No. 33) and Giants (No. 34) if those teams pass on a QB in Round 1. Jordan Reid's latest mock draft has Milroe heading to Cleveland at No. 33 (and Shough going to the Giants further down the board).
The trickier answer is Ole Miss' Jaxson Dart, a top-three QB on most boards. He has one of the more unusual draft selection curves in our model. Dart starts out with a very low chance to be selected in the low teens (most likely via a trade up), and there's still only 7% odds that he's picked at the Seahawks' No. 18 selection. Then his chances jump to 24% at the Steelers' No. 21 pick, which is where Reid has him going. The Steelers, of course, still don't have a quarterback solution, even if Aaron Rodgers has been linked to them.
If Dart makes it past the Steelers, he could get picked at almost any other spot in the 20s. None of those teams has a major need at QB, so a franchise such as the Browns or Giants might look to trade up for Dart -- which would be a smart move to secure the fifth-year option guaranteed for all first-round picks.
Still, our model gives Dart a 24% chance to slip out of the first round altogether. If he does, he'll have a 90% chance to be gone by No. 38 and 95% chance by No. 40.
Source: https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2025/stor ... -receivers
Which top QBs are most likely to be available on Day 2?
Alabama's Jalen Milroe (91%) and Louisville's Tyler Shough (99%) are the easy answers to this question, per the Draft Day Predictor. They are both possibilities for the Browns (No. 33) and Giants (No. 34) if those teams pass on a QB in Round 1. Jordan Reid's latest mock draft has Milroe heading to Cleveland at No. 33 (and Shough going to the Giants further down the board).
The trickier answer is Ole Miss' Jaxson Dart, a top-three QB on most boards. He has one of the more unusual draft selection curves in our model. Dart starts out with a very low chance to be selected in the low teens (most likely via a trade up), and there's still only 7% odds that he's picked at the Seahawks' No. 18 selection. Then his chances jump to 24% at the Steelers' No. 21 pick, which is where Reid has him going. The Steelers, of course, still don't have a quarterback solution, even if Aaron Rodgers has been linked to them.
If Dart makes it past the Steelers, he could get picked at almost any other spot in the 20s. None of those teams has a major need at QB, so a franchise such as the Browns or Giants might look to trade up for Dart -- which would be a smart move to secure the fifth-year option guaranteed for all first-round picks.
Still, our model gives Dart a 24% chance to slip out of the first round altogether. If he does, he'll have a 90% chance to be gone by No. 38 and 95% chance by No. 40.
Source: https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2025/stor ... -receivers
spot on!
